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An Augmented A/P/C Cohort Model : Applications. Part I: Changes in Household Demand for Wine in Japan. Part II: Estimating Impacts of the O-157 and BSE Incidents on Japanese At-Home Beef
https://doi.org/10.34360/00000761
https://doi.org/10.34360/000007613e160633-9356-425d-9448-17452f9c540f
名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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1011_0113_05 (382.1 kB)
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Item type | 紀要論文 / Departmental Bulletin Paper(1) | |||||
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公開日 | 2013-01-07 | |||||
タイトル | ||||||
タイトル | An Augmented A/P/C Cohort Model : Applications. Part I: Changes in Household Demand for Wine in Japan. Part II: Estimating Impacts of the O-157 and BSE Incidents on Japanese At-Home Beef | |||||
言語 | ||||||
言語 | eng | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題 | 森, 宏, ヘイドン, スチュワート, 三枝, 義清 Wine, Augmented Cohort Analysis, Price Elasticity, Pure Period Effects, beef, O-157, BSE, A/P/C effects, price elasticity, income elasticity |
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資源タイプ | ||||||
資源タイプ | departmental bulletin paper | |||||
ID登録 | ||||||
ID登録 | 10.34360/00000761 | |||||
ID登録タイプ | JaLC | |||||
作成者 |
Mori, Hiroshi
× Mori, Hiroshi× Stewart, Hayden× Saegusa, Yoshiharu |
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内容記述 | ||||||
内容記述 | Part I: Alcohol consumption (per adult) in Japan increased by 30% between 1980 and the mid-1990s. It then declined by 10% between then and 2010. The consumption of wine, a relative newcomer to Japan’s alcohol market, also grew sharply up to a point in the 1990s before falling off. Still, consumption quadrupled over the period as a whole. This study analyzes the effects of prices, income, aging, and generational change on at-home wine consumption from 1979 to 2011. Japan experienced rapid economic growth during the past handful of decades. This, in turn, led to changes in food consumption patterns with people born around the same point in history exhibiting more similar food choices than people born farther apart in time. We find that Japanese born between 1955 and 1979 exhibit the greatest demand for wine. However, “pure” period effects have had a greater impact on wine consumption than demographic changes. Also, when per−adult wine consumption was regressed against real prices and real household expenditures (a proxy for income), we obtained estimates of the price elasticity as large as −3.3. However, when accounting for demographic determinants of demand, we obtained an average price elasticity of −0.8 and negligible income elasticity., Part II: Per capita at-home beef consumption increased steadily by 50% from the early 1980s to the mid-1990s, despite a drastic rise in away from home beef consumption. Beef consumption ceased to grow in the mid-1990s, began to decline appreciably in the early 2000s and, in the early 2010s, remains substantially below the mid-1990 level. These changes in beef consumption may have been caused by the booming economy during the 1980s, the steady fall in beef prices due to gradual trade liberalization in the early 1990s, changes in population structure, and last but not the least the incidents of E. coli O-157 in 1996 and BSE in 2001. This paper attempts to estimate the likely impacts of these incidents on at-home beef consumption in the framework of economic and demographic change, using the A/P/C cohort model augmented with economic variables. Results confirm the importance of the disease events and relative price changes for beef consumption in Japan. | |||||
公開者 | ||||||
出版者 | 専修大学経済学会 | |||||
ISSN | ||||||
収録物識別子 | 0386-4383 | |||||
書誌レコードID | ||||||
収録物識別子 | AN00132359 | |||||
書誌情報 |
専修経済学論集 巻 47, 号 2, p. 37-54, 発行日 2012-11-30 |
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出版タイプ | ||||||
出版タイプ | NA |